White paper: Cisco VNI Forecast and Methodology, 2. June 6, 2. 01. 6This forecast is part of the Cisco. This document presents the details of the Cisco VNI global IP traffic forecast and the methodology behind it.
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For a more analytical look at the implications of the data presented in this paper, refer to the companion document, The Zettabyte Era—Trends and Analysis, or the VNI Forecast Highlights tool. Executive Summary. Annual global IP traffic will surpass the zettabyte (ZB; 1. Global IP traffic will reach 1. ZB per year or 8. EB (one billion gigabytes . By 2. 02. 0, global IP traffic will reach 2.
- Source: Cisco VNI, 2016. Consumer Internet Traffic, 2015–2020. This category encompasses any IP traffic that crosses the Internet and is not confined to a single.
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ZB per year, or 1. EB per month. Global IP traffic will increase nearly threefold over the next 5 years, and will have increased nearly 1.
Overall, IP traffic will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2. Busy- hour Internet traffic is growing more rapidly than average Internet traffic. Busy- hour (or the busiest 6. Busy- hour Internet traffic will increase by a factor of 4. Internet traffic will increase twofold. Smartphone traffic will exceed PC traffic by 2. In 2. 01. 5, PCs accounted for 5.
IP traffic, but by 2. PCs will account for only 2. Smartphones will account for 3. IP traffic in 2. 02. PC- originated traffic will grow at a CAGR of 8 percent, while TVs, tablets, smartphones, and machine- to- machine (M2. M) modules will have traffic growth rates of 1.
Traffic from wireless and mobile devices will account for two- thirds of total IP traffic by 2. By 2. 02. 0, wired devices will account for 3. IP traffic, while Wi- Fi and mobile devices will account for 6.
IP traffic. In 2. IP traffic at 5. 2 percent. Global Internet traffic in 2. Internet in 2. 00. Globally, Internet traffic will reach 2. GB per capita by 2. GB per capita in 2.
The number of devices connected to IP networks will be three times as high as the global population in 2. There will be 3. 4 networked devices per capita by 2. Accelerated in part by the increase in devices and the capabilities of those devices, IP traffic per capita will reach 2. GB per capita by 2.
GB per capita in 2. Broadband speeds will nearly double by 2.
By 2. 02. 0, global fixed broadband speeds will reach 4. Mbps, up from 2. 4. Mbps in 2. 01. 5. Video Highlights.
It would take an individual more than 5 million years to watch the amount of video that will cross global IP networks each month in 2. Every second, nearly a million minutes of video content will cross the network by 2. Globally, IP video traffic will be 8. Internet traffic by 2.
Global IP video traffic will grow threefold from 2. CAGR of 2. 6 percent. Internet video traffic will grow fourfold from 2. CAGR of 3. 1 percent.
Internet video surveillance traffic nearly doubled in 2. PB) per month at the end of 2. PB per month in 2. Internet video surveillance traffic will increase tenfold between 2. Globally, 3. 9 percent of all Internet video traffic will be due to video surveillance in 2.
Virtual reality traffic quadrupled in 2. PB per month in 2. PB per month in 2.
Globally, virtual reality traffic will increase 6. CAGR of 1. 27 percent. Internet video to TV grew 5. Internet video to TV will continue to grow at a rapid pace, increasing 3.
Internet video- to- TV traffic will be 2. Internet video traffic by 2. Consumer Vo. D traffic will nearly double by 2. Ultra- high- definition (UHD) will be 2. IP video- on- demand (Vo. D) traffic in 2. 02. Content delivery network (CDN) traffic will carry nearly two- thirds of all internet video traffic by 2.
By 2. 02. 0, 6. 4 percent of all Internet video traffic will cross CDNs, up from 4. Mobile Highlights.
Globally, mobile data traffic will increase eightfold between 2. Mobile data traffic will grow at a CAGR of 5. EB per month by 2. Global mobile data traffic will grow three times as fast as fixed IP traffic from 2. Global mobile data traffic was 5 percent of total IP traffic in 2. IP traffic by 2. 02. Regional Highlights.
IP traffic is growing fastest in the Middle East and Africa, followed by Asia Pacific. Traffic in the Middle East and Africa will grow at a CAGR of 4.
IP traffic in North America will reach 5. EB per month by 2. CAGR of 1. 9 percent. Monthly Internet traffic in North America will generate 1. DVDs’ worth of traffic, or 4.
EB per month. IP traffic in Western Europe will reach 2. EB per month by 2. CAGR of 2. 0 percent. Monthly Internet traffic in Western Europe will generate 6 billion DVDs’ worth of traffic, or 2. EB per month. IP traffic in Asia Pacific will reach 6.
EB per month by 2. CAGR of 2. 2 percent.
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